Thu, Jan-13-05, 16:05
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Senior Member
Posts: 606
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Plan: PP
Stats: 210/170/170
BF:
Progress: 100%
Location: NJ
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The 'real' numbers in this so-called study are a joke.
They studied 146,000 people for some 20 years.
They ASKED people what they ate. And the asked them on only TWO occasions over 20 years.
They found 1667 cases of colorectal cancer.
That means on average, you have a 1.5 chance in 100 of contracting the disease.
Relative risks in the study were RR 1.50 for the HIGHEST consumption. (Relative risks less than 3.00 are virtually meaningless. With smoking, for example, your RR for lung cancer is something like 20.0. That is a strong effect. 1.50 is miniscule.)
That means 'meat' raised the risk from 1.5 % to 2.2%. One half a percent absolute risk.
This 'effect' is so tiny, it could easily be a fluke or skewed by a few people 'guessing' wrong about that they actually ate.
This is the state of epidemiology. Pretty sorry stuff.
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