I think the experts can't agree on anything, because progressively over the generations we've gotten fatter and fatter, not only as a nation, but in the entire developed world.
I understand what cotonpal articulated and see the reason in it, but also relate to the urgency to just "not be fat" anymore that JAnn is describing.
Like MickieSue, I feel that height going down would affect my final goal, because I would look fatter otherwise, at the same goal but different heights. 1/2 inch, not so much maybe. But if I shrink two inches, for sure that would make a difference in my goal number weight, because it would be a substantial enough height decrease, for me, that it would obviously also affect how I look - even at the same weight.
What I will say and what I have found for me personally - is that the ONLY guideline for ideal weight which I have found to be useful, is Dr. Stillman's.
Dr. Stillman's original ideal weight chart, created in the 1950s or 1960s, seemed quite reasonable to an entire population. At the time.
Somehow we've gotten SO collectively fat in the US now, that the only words I ever read in reference to Dr. Stillman's idea weight chart, are things like, "I would be an absolute skeleton, I could NEVER go that low."
For me though, his ideal weight charge is spot on, and definitely represents the only true weight range at which I am not fat or overweight, and where I not only look, but also
feel my best.
The formula (if memory serves - if not, someone correct me please),... is 100 lbs for the first 5 feet of height, then a range of 3-5 lbs for every inch thereafter - depending on the size of your frame.
In other words at 5ft 11, my ideal weight would be 100 + a range of 33-55 lbs. Or more simply put, 133-155 lbs.
I can tell you that I am 154 lbs right now, and that I am definitely at the high end of what I would ever consider an acceptable, and truly "not fat" weight for my height. I look good,... but trust me, I am on the absolute cusp still. 5 more lbs and I am right back to humpty-dumpty, totally chunky, and not-in-any-way-delicate territory.
I'm just throwing this out there, because all kinds of other calculations, BMI tables, etc... only ever left me disappointed, and gave me the impression that I was thin "enough",... when I clearly wasn't. The disappointment then subsequently kicked in, because instead of having a concrete goal to work towards - exacting though it might be... I just kind of felt like I was just... still fat. Which I was.
I think there's nothing wrong with people choosing to carry 20 lbs extra or whatever, and calling it their personal "ideal" weight. This is a comment on the general population btw, not a comment on this thread.
But I do think it's weird though, when collectively, as a nation, people (we) seem to all think we're all really thin... when these days, we're just not anymore.
Anyway... in terms of "when will my belly fat be gone" and things like this... I am nowhere NEAR menopause even.
But I sure do have to go a heck of a lot lower than I would have liked to, or than that BMI tables would have indicated to me... to get to a weight that is not fat on me.
This is kind of why in my first post, I said you'll know yourself when you look and feel great, and that it may not necessarily be related to strict number on the scale.
I can tell you all too, that as a tall person here, I can probably be about 40 lbs heavier clothed, and still look "slim". But 40 lbs is A LOT of fat to be camouflaging - if we're going to call a spade, a spade.
Because Jann and I are both tall, my comment would be that as a guess, ... to be "not fat" anymore fully dressed and fully clothed, I would say you can probably use the top "normal" range of the BMI tables.
But to be "not fat" naked, with nothing to hide behind, Dr. Stillman's charts I think are the only ones that would result in a genuinely slender, naked silhouette.
It's all on a spectrum though, isn't it? For some people, "average" is good enough. Or camouflaging in clothes is fine.
But you'll definitely
know, when
you get to where you are genuinely happy for you.
The amazing thing is that without limiting calories but with very strictly limiting carbs, LC will definitely take you
a lot lower than any other diet ever would have.