Quote:
Originally Posted by Valtor
All right.
70 days * 1800 kcals = 126000 kcals (intake)
27 lb * 3500 kcals = 94500 kcals (from body stores)
126000 + 94500 = 220500 kcals.
220500 kcals / 70 days = 3150 kcals.
So his calorie out was an average of 3150 kcals per day during these 10 weeks. Just an estimate of course and even more so since it does not take into account possible water loss.
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Sorry buddy, your math is wrong. One pound is 454 grams, one gram of fat contains 9 kcals, which comes out to 4096 kcals, not 3500 kcals.
According to your math, a 1576 kcals deficit will produce a 27 lbs weight loss. There's just one problem: He did not eat 1576 kcals less than before, he only ate 800 kcals less than before. 2600 kcals before, 1800 kcals during.
How does the hypothesis explain that a 800 kcals caloric deficit at the onset will ultimately produce a weight loss equivalent to a 1576 kcals caloric deficit? The simple answer is that it can't.
He ate 2600 kcals before the experiment. He ate 1800 kcals during the experiment. This is a difference of 800 kcals. His weight was stable before the experiment. This means Eout was the same as Ein: 2600 kcals. Rather, this means we can rely on a Eout figure of 2600 kcals to predict future weight loss. This means the predicted weight loss will be 70 * 800 kcals, or 13.5 lbs. Yet he lost an actual 27 lbs. The prediction is off the mark by 100%. How can the hypothesis be so far off the mark?
Ancel Keys showed us that a semi-starvation diet causes lethargy, i.e. a reduction of Eout. Haub's experiment says Eout will
increase. So not only is the hypothesis wrong with the numbers, but it's wrong with direction too.
The guy's experiment cannot be explained by calories alone. But the carbohydrate hypothesis can explain it completely. Remember, a fundamental principle of this hypothesis is that as insulin drops, fat is released from fat tissue faster than normal, or rather the balance between fat accumulation and fat release will shift toward more fat released to ultimately produce weight loss. Accordingly, if his previous diet drove his insulin higher than his experiment diet, then it's easy to see how an apparent caloric deficit caused a greater weight loss than what the calorie hypothesis alone predicted. How else would he start with a Eout of 2600 kcals, cut out 800 kcals from Ein for 10 weeks, and end up with a Eout of 3376 kcals, unless fat tissue was regulated not by calories but by hormones like insulin?