My theory is that if you want to go below your natural (low-carb) body weight set point (or adipostat or lipostat, whatever you want to call it), then you're going to need to count calories.

For some people, their bodies might be so damaged from a lifetime of sugar/starch consumption that this set point is set above what's considered "normal" according to the BMI tables.

Ultimately such people who do count those calories to go lower will have to deal with hunger, and that could cause people to give up completely on low-carbing and then spiral back into regaining all their lost weight, and then some.

It might be a better idea just to keep the carbs as low as you can to get that set point as low as you can. And then focus on being fit at that weight and accept yourself at that weight.

I think I'm going to try that strategy this time around.