I went from a tight 16 to a comfortable 14 by going from about the lower 190s to about 180. Say 15 pounds. Which took me longer than a month but YMMV. But your body type might be too different from mine for that too mean much; I must be more bottom heavy than you. Fat loss doesn't always happen all over. I know some months my pants were getting loose, and other months my tops were getting loose.