Modeling societal interactions. . . . More thread bait!

[Bob Keeter]

http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2002/04/rauch.htm

To steal a bit of the synopsis:

"The new science of artificial societies suggests that real
ones are both more predictable and more surprising than we
thought. Growing long-vanished civilizations and modern-day
genocides on computers will probably never enable us to
foresee the future in detail‹but we might learn to anticipate
the kinds of events that lie ahead, and where to look for
interventions that might work   by Jonathan Rauch "

Interesting in the implications for the HN/HSS clash of
species and possibly for the current world affairs! (Oh
goodness, did I really say that!) 8-(

Anyway, an interesting article on the practical applications
of game theory to pseudo-human societies.

Regards bk

[Firstjois]

"Bob Keeter" <rkeeter@earthlink.net> wrote in message
news:B8DF6B4D.B619%rkeeter@earthlink.net...
:
: http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2002/04/rauch.htm
:
: To steal a bit of the synopsis:
:
: "The new science of artificial societies suggests that real
: ones are both more predictable and more surprising than we
: thought. Growing
long-vanished
: civilizations and modern-day genocides on computers will
: probably never enable us to foresee the future in detail :
: the kinds of events that lie
ahead, and where to look for interventions that
: might work
:
: by Jonathan Rauch "
:
: Interesting in the implications for the HN/HSS clash of
: species and
possibly
: for the current world affairs! (Oh goodness, did I really
: say that!)
8-(
:
:
: Anyway, an interesting article on the practical
: applications of game
theory
: to pseudo-human societies.
:
: Regards bk

Four days, no bites. Keep fishing. In theory fishermen keep
fishing because the result are not predictable.

Jois
:

[Bob Keeter]

in article
wMfw8.105717$GS6.10760034@bin3.nnrp.aus1.giganews.com,
firstjois at firstjoisyikes@hotmail.com wrote on 4/20/02 10:26
AM:

>
> "Bob Keeter" <rkeeter@earthlink.net> wrote in message
> news:B8DF6B4D.B619%rkeeter@earthlink.net... : :
> http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2002/04/rauch.htm : : To
> steal a bit of the synopsis: : : "The new science of
> artificial societies suggests that real ones are both : more
> predictable and more surprising than we thought. Growing
> long-vanished : civilizations and modern-day genocides on
> computers will probably never : enable us to foresee the
> future in detail : the kinds of events that lie ahead, and
> where to look for interventions that : might work :
> : by Jonathan Rauch " : : Interesting in the implications
> : for the HN/HSS clash
> of species and possibly : for the current world affairs! (Oh
> goodness, did I really say that!) 8-( : : : Anyway, an
> interesting article on the practical applications of game
> theory : to pseudo-human societies. : : Regards : bk
>
> Four days, no bites. Keep fishing. In theory fishermen keep
> fishing because the result are not predictable.
>
> Jois :
>
>

Where in the WORLD is that good wiggly worm when you
need one! ;-)

SOMEHOW I thought that the modeling of "supercomplex"
interpersonal and societal interactions on a computer,
particularly one in which the results track so closely to
human history, and in which the assumptions are so simple
might stirr at least some desenting comments! Oh well, so much
for parsimony! 8-)

The saying is that after three days the fish starts to smell.
Pretty sure that the same goes for worms! ;-)

Reards bk